TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Troy (KS) | Bishop LeBlond |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| PF / GAME | 27.5 | 32.1 |
| PA / GAME | 27.5 | 26.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | +0.0 | +0.8 |
| SOS | +0.0 | +5.8 |
| POWER | +0.0 | +2.9 |
TROY (KS) WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Troy (KS) finished the job, as Troy (KS) and Bishop LeBlond finished 36-26. MOFO's pick of Bishop LeBlond missed; the model had projected a 27-30 final.
The actual margin was 10 points versus MOFO's 3.5-point projection. That produced a 13.5-point margin error, with score errors of 9.3 for Troy (KS) and 4.2 for Bishop LeBlond.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD BISHOP LEBLOND
MOFO leans toward Bishop LeBlond because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 2.9-point power-rating advantage and projects a 3.5-point margin, with Bishop LeBlond carrying a 62% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Bishop LeBlond enters at 32.1 points per game compared with 27.5 for Troy (KS). Bishop LeBlond also allows 0.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +5.8 for Bishop LeBlond and +0.0 for Troy (KS). Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low — no season data.
01Bishop LeBlond owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Bishop LeBlond has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 2.9-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.