TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Raytown South | Belton |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| PF / GAME | 22.2 | 19.5 |
| PA / GAME | 24.5 | 32.6 |
| AVG MARGIN | +3.2 | -22.6 |
| SOS | +5.2 | +19.2 |
| POWER | +5.0 | -15.8 |
BELTON WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Belton finished the job, as Raytown South and Belton finished 24-26. MOFO's pick of Raytown South missed; the model had projected a 29-20 final.
The actual margin was 2 points versus MOFO's 9.5-point projection. That produced a 11.5-point margin error, with score errors of 5.4 for Raytown South and 6.1 for Belton.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD RAYTOWN SOUTH
MOFO leans toward Raytown South because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 20.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 9.5-point margin, with Raytown South carrying a 78% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Raytown South enters at 22.2 points per game compared with 19.5 for Belton. Raytown South also allows 8.1 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +5.2 for Raytown South and +19.2 for Belton. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Raytown South owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Belton has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 20.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.