TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Osceola | Archie |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| PF / GAME | 29.7 | 42.2 |
| PA / GAME | 39.5 | 32.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | -12.1 | +4.6 |
| SOS | +3.8 | +2.8 |
| POWER | -10.8 | +5.6 |
ARCHIE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Archie finished the job, as Osceola and Archie finished 0-72. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 29-43 final.
The actual margin was 72 points versus MOFO's 13.2-point projection. That produced a 58.8-point margin error, with score errors of 29.5 for Osceola and 29.3 for Archie.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD ARCHIE
MOFO leans toward Archie because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 16.4-point power-rating advantage and projects a 13.2-point margin, with Archie carrying a 85% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Archie enters at 42.2 points per game compared with 29.7 for Osceola. Archie also allows 6.7 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +2.8 for Archie and +3.8 for Osceola. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Archie owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Osceola has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 16.4-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.