TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | King City | Albany |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| PF / GAME | 40.8 | 37.6 |
| PA / GAME | 28.2 | 29.6 |
| AVG MARGIN | +14.2 | +8.7 |
| SOS | -14.3 | -3.2 |
| POWER | +9.2 | +7.6 |
ALBANY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Albany finished the job, as King City and Albany finished 36-40. MOFO's pick of King City missed; the model had projected a 35-33 final.
The actual margin was 4 points versus MOFO's 2.3-point projection. That produced a 6.3-point margin error, with score errors of 0.8 for King City and 7.1 for Albany.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD KING CITY
MOFO leans toward King City because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 1.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 2.3-point margin, with King City carrying a 58% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: King City enters at 40.8 points per game compared with 37.6 for Albany. King City also allows 1.4 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -14.3 for King City and -3.2 for Albany. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01King City owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Albany has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 1.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.