TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Westminster Christian Academy | Wright City |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| PF / GAME | 28.2 | 23.2 |
| PA / GAME | 23.1 | 27.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +9.1 | -14.7 |
| SOS | -9.5 | +10.1 |
| POWER | +5.8 | -11.2 |
WESTMINSTER CHRISTIAN ACADEMY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Westminster Christian Academy finished the job, as Westminster Christian Academy and Wright City finished 34-7. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 29-22 final.
The actual margin was 27 points versus MOFO's 7.5-point projection. That produced a 19.5-point margin error, with score errors of 4.9 for Westminster Christian Academy and 14.6 for Wright City.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD WESTMINSTER CHRISTIAN ACADEMY
MOFO leans toward Westminster Christian Academy because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 16.9-point power-rating advantage and projects a 7.5-point margin, with Westminster Christian Academy carrying a 73% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Westminster Christian Academy enters at 28.2 points per game compared with 23.2 for Wright City. Westminster Christian Academy also allows 3.9 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -9.5 for Westminster Christian Academy and +10.1 for Wright City. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Westminster Christian Academy owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Wright City has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 16.9-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.