TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Waynesville | Webb City |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| PF / GAME | 19.3 | 33.2 |
| PA / GAME | 38.2 | 22.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | -22.1 | +23.5 |
| SOS | +5.6 | -13.8 |
| POWER | -20.1 | +18.7 |
WEBB CITY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Webb City finished the job, as Waynesville and Webb City finished 19-62. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 17-40 final.
The actual margin was 43 points versus MOFO's 22.5-point projection. That produced a 20.5-point margin error, with score errors of 1.9 for Waynesville and 22.4 for Webb City.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD WEBB CITY
MOFO leans toward Webb City because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 38.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 22.5-point margin, with Webb City carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Webb City enters at 33.2 points per game compared with 19.3 for Waynesville. Webb City also allows 15.5 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -13.8 for Webb City and +5.6 for Waynesville. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Webb City owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Waynesville has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 38.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.