TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Ladue Horton Watkins | Vianney |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| PF / GAME | 26.8 | 29.6 |
| PA / GAME | 24.3 | 27.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | +6.7 | +7.7 |
| SOS | -4.4 | -3.7 |
| POWER | +5.2 | +6.4 |
LADUE HORTON WATKINS WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Ladue Horton Watkins finished the job, as Ladue Horton Watkins and Vianney finished 50-27. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 27-27 final.
The actual margin was 23 points versus MOFO's 0.0-point projection. That produced a 23.0-point margin error, with score errors of 22.8 for Ladue Horton Watkins and 0.1 for Vianney.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD LADUE HORTON WATKINS
MOFO leans toward Ladue Horton Watkins because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 1.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 0.0-point margin, with Ladue Horton Watkins carrying a 50% win probability.
Vianney actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Ladue Horton Watkins also allows 3.5 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -4.4 for Ladue Horton Watkins and -3.7 for Vianney. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Vianney owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Vianney has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 1.2-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.