TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Clayton with Brentwood | St. Charles |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| PF / GAME | 19.4 | 16.5 |
| PA / GAME | 38.4 | 33.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | -28.3 | -29.6 |
| SOS | +13.8 | +14.4 |
| POWER | -23.5 | -24.6 |
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD ST. CHARLES
MOFO leans toward St. Charles because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 1.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 8.3-point margin, with St. Charles carrying a 75% win probability.
Clayton with Brentwood actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. St. Charles also allows 4.9 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +14.4 for St. Charles and +13.8 for Clayton with Brentwood. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Clayton with Brentwood owns the stronger scoring profile.
02St. Charles has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 1.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.