TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Rock Port | Princeton |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| PF / GAME | 40.6 | 26.5 |
| PA / GAME | 23.0 | 34.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | +13.6 | +5.1 |
| SOS | -1.5 | -10.8 |
| POWER | +13.1 | +1.4 |
ROCK PORT WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Rock Port finished the job, as Rock Port and Princeton finished 64-47. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 39-23 final.
The actual margin was 17 points versus MOFO's 15.8-point projection. That produced a 1.2-point margin error, with score errors of 24.9 for Rock Port and 23.7 for Princeton.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD ROCK PORT
MOFO leans toward Rock Port because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 11.7-point power-rating advantage and projects a 15.8-point margin, with Rock Port carrying a 89% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Rock Port enters at 40.6 points per game compared with 26.5 for Princeton. Rock Port also allows 11.7 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -1.5 for Rock Port and -10.8 for Princeton. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Rock Port owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Rock Port has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 11.7-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.