TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Charleston | Potosi |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| PF / GAME | 25.9 | 26.4 |
| PA / GAME | 25.2 | 21.9 |
| AVG MARGIN | +3.3 | +9.4 |
| SOS | -7.0 | -4.3 |
| POWER | +0.8 | +7.9 |
POTOSI WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Potosi finished the job, as Charleston and Potosi finished 28-60. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 23-27 final.
The actual margin was 32 points versus MOFO's 3.5-point projection. That produced a 28.5-point margin error, with score errors of 5.0 for Charleston and 33.4 for Potosi.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD POTOSI
MOFO leans toward Potosi because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 7.0-point power-rating advantage and projects a 3.5-point margin, with Potosi carrying a 62% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Potosi enters at 26.4 points per game compared with 25.9 for Charleston. Potosi also allows 3.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -4.3 for Potosi and -7.0 for Charleston. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Potosi owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Potosi has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 7.0-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.