PARK HILL SOUTH WRITES THE FINAL WORD

Park Hill South finished the job, as Grandview and Park Hill South finished 20-61. MOFO's pick of Grandview missed; the model had projected a 26-24 final.

The actual margin was 41 points versus MOFO's 2.4-point projection. That produced a 43.4-point margin error, with score errors of 6.0 for Grandview and 37.5 for Park Hill South.

THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD GRANDVIEW

MOFO leans toward Grandview because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 13.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 2.4-point margin, with Grandview carrying a 58% win probability.

The clearest separator is scoring: Grandview enters at 21.4 points per game compared with 19.6 for Park Hill South. Park Hill South's defensive numbers are competitive, which is the best statistical path to keeping the game tighter than projected.

Strength of schedule checks in at -15.7 for Grandview and +8.9 for Park Hill South. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.