TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | North Kansas City | Oak Park |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| PF / GAME | 29.1 | 27.3 |
| PA / GAME | 28.3 | 33.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | -10.6 | -4.1 |
| SOS | +8.2 | -2.7 |
| POWER | -7.7 | -5.0 |
NORTH KANSAS CITY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
North Kansas City finished the job, as North Kansas City and Oak Park finished 42-21. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 31-28 final.
The actual margin was 21 points versus MOFO's 3.1-point projection. That produced a 17.9-point margin error, with score errors of 11.0 for North Kansas City and 6.9 for Oak Park.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD NORTH KANSAS CITY
MOFO leans toward North Kansas City because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 2.7-point power-rating advantage and projects a 3.1-point margin, with North Kansas City carrying a 60% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: North Kansas City enters at 29.1 points per game compared with 27.3 for Oak Park. North Kansas City also allows 4.7 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +8.2 for North Kansas City and -2.7 for Oak Park. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01North Kansas City owns the stronger scoring profile.
02North Kansas City has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 2.7-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.