TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Stewartsville | North Andrew |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| PF / GAME | 30.5 | 32.5 |
| PA / GAME | 39.5 | 33.3 |
| AVG MARGIN | -4.4 | +4.4 |
| SOS | -3.0 | -5.8 |
| POWER | -5.5 | +2.4 |
NORTH ANDREW WRITES THE FINAL WORD
North Andrew finished the job, as Stewartsville and North Andrew finished 30-44. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 31-37 final.
The actual margin was 14 points versus MOFO's 5.7-point projection. That produced a 8.3-point margin error, with score errors of 1.1 for Stewartsville and 7.2 for North Andrew.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD NORTH ANDREW
MOFO leans toward North Andrew because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 7.9-point power-rating advantage and projects a 5.7-point margin, with North Andrew carrying a 68% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: North Andrew enters at 32.5 points per game compared with 30.5 for Stewartsville. North Andrew also allows 6.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -5.8 for North Andrew and -3.0 for Stewartsville. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01North Andrew owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Stewartsville has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 7.9-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.