TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | North Platte | Maysville |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| PF / GAME | 27.5 | 19.6 |
| PA / GAME | 26.6 | 29.3 |
| AVG MARGIN | -2.4 | -29.0 |
| SOS | +1.0 | +21.5 |
| POWER | -2.0 | -21.5 |
NORTH PLATTE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
North Platte finished the job, as North Platte and Maysville finished 45-26. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 30-21 final.
The actual margin was 19 points versus MOFO's 8.8-point projection. That produced a 10.2-point margin error, with score errors of 14.8 for North Platte and 4.7 for Maysville.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD NORTH PLATTE
MOFO leans toward North Platte because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 19.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 8.8-point margin, with North Platte carrying a 76% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: North Platte enters at 27.5 points per game compared with 19.6 for Maysville. North Platte also allows 2.7 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +1.0 for North Platte and +21.5 for Maysville. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01North Platte owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Maysville has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 19.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.