TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Principia | Marquette Catholic (Ill.) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 26.9 | 31.9 |
| PA / GAME | 39.6 | 26.1 |
| AVG MARGIN | -35.0 | +6.7 |
| SOS | +25.9 | -5.8 |
| POWER | -25.9 | +4.7 |
MARQUETTE CATHOLIC (ILL.) WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Marquette Catholic (Ill.) finished the job, as Principia and Marquette Catholic (Ill.) finished 22-62. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 24-39 final.
The actual margin was 40 points versus MOFO's 14.9-point projection. That produced a 25.1-point margin error, with score errors of 1.7 for Principia and 23.4 for Marquette Catholic (Ill.).
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD MARQUETTE CATHOLIC (ILL.)
MOFO leans toward Marquette Catholic (Ill.) because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 30.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 14.9-point margin, with Marquette Catholic (Ill.) carrying a 88% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Marquette Catholic (Ill.) enters at 31.9 points per game compared with 26.9 for Principia. Marquette Catholic (Ill.) also allows 13.5 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -5.8 for Marquette Catholic (Ill.) and +25.9 for Principia. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low — no season data.
01Marquette Catholic (Ill.) owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Principia has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 30.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.