TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | St. Dominic | Marquette |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 32.1 | 19.1 |
| PA / GAME | 22.9 | 33.9 |
| AVG MARGIN | +8.7 | -17.5 |
| SOS | -1.8 | +4.7 |
| POWER | +8.0 | -15.8 |
MARQUETTE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Marquette finished the job, as St. Dominic and Marquette finished 7-24. MOFO's pick of St. Dominic missed; the model had projected a 35-19 final.
The actual margin was 17 points versus MOFO's 17.0-point projection. That produced a 34.0-point margin error, with score errors of 28.5 for St. Dominic and 5.5 for Marquette.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD ST. DOMINIC
MOFO leans toward St. Dominic because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 23.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 17.0-point margin, with St. Dominic carrying a 91% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: St. Dominic enters at 32.1 points per game compared with 19.1 for Marquette. St. Dominic also allows 11.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -1.8 for St. Dominic and +4.7 for Marquette. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01St. Dominic owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Marquette has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 23.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.