TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Rockhurst | Manhattan (KS) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 26.8 | 26.4 |
| PA / GAME | 22.0 | 26.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | +3.7 | +0.0 |
| SOS | +2.0 | +0.0 |
| POWER | +4.4 | +0.0 |
ROCKHURST WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Rockhurst finished the job, as Rockhurst and Manhattan (KS) finished 32-28. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 27-24 final.
The actual margin was 4 points versus MOFO's 3.4-point projection. That produced a 0.6-point margin error, with score errors of 4.9 for Rockhurst and 4.3 for Manhattan (KS).
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD ROCKHURST
MOFO leans toward Rockhurst because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 4.4-point power-rating advantage and projects a 3.4-point margin, with Rockhurst carrying a 61% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Rockhurst enters at 26.8 points per game compared with 26.4 for Manhattan (KS). Rockhurst also allows 4.4 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +2.0 for Rockhurst and +0.0 for Manhattan (KS). Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low — no season data.
01Rockhurst owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Rockhurst has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 4.4-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.