TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Jackson | Louisville-Ballard (KY) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 41.3 | 23.6 |
| PA / GAME | 19.3 | 28.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | +28.9 | -14.3 |
| SOS | -12.9 | +14.5 |
| POWER | +24.4 | -9.2 |
JACKSON WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Jackson finished the job, as Jackson and Louisville-Ballard (KY) finished 42-6. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 38-18 final.
The actual margin was 36 points versus MOFO's 19.8-point projection. That produced a 16.2-point margin error, with score errors of 3.9 for Jackson and 12.3 for Louisville-Ballard (KY).
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD JACKSON
MOFO leans toward Jackson because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 33.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 19.8-point margin, with Jackson carrying a 93% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Jackson enters at 41.3 points per game compared with 23.6 for Louisville-Ballard (KY). Jackson also allows 9.1 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -12.9 for Jackson and +14.5 for Louisville-Ballard (KY). Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Jackson owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Louisville-Ballard (KY) has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 33.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.