TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Liberty | Liberty North |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| PF / GAME | 27.5 | 28.2 |
| PA / GAME | 25.1 | 23.9 |
| AVG MARGIN | -11.7 | +10.1 |
| SOS | +13.4 | -4.0 |
| POWER | -7.1 | +8.7 |
LIBERTY NORTH WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Liberty North finished the job, as Liberty and Liberty North finished 31-54. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 24-28 final.
The actual margin was 23 points versus MOFO's 3.8-point projection. That produced a 19.2-point margin error, with score errors of 6.8 for Liberty and 26.0 for Liberty North.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD LIBERTY NORTH
MOFO leans toward Liberty North because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 15.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 3.8-point margin, with Liberty North carrying a 62% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Liberty North enters at 28.2 points per game compared with 27.5 for Liberty. Liberty North also allows 1.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -4.0 for Liberty North and +13.4 for Liberty. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Liberty North owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Liberty has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 15.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.