TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Park Hill | Lee's Summit West |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| PF / GAME | 26.2 | 21.4 |
| PA / GAME | 24.5 | 22.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | -2.8 | -0.7 |
| SOS | +6.2 | -1.8 |
| POWER | -0.6 | -1.3 |
LEE'S SUMMIT WEST WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Lee's Summit West finished the job, as Park Hill and Lee's Summit West finished 21-31. MOFO's pick of Park Hill missed; the model had projected a 25-23 final.
The actual margin was 10 points versus MOFO's 1.9-point projection. That produced a 11.9-point margin error, with score errors of 3.7 for Park Hill and 8.2 for Lee's Summit West.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD PARK HILL
MOFO leans toward Park Hill because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 0.7-point power-rating advantage and projects a 1.9-point margin, with Park Hill carrying a 56% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Park Hill enters at 26.2 points per game compared with 21.4 for Lee's Summit West. Lee's Summit West's defensive numbers are competitive, which is the best statistical path to keeping the game tighter than projected.
Strength of schedule checks in at +6.2 for Park Hill and -1.8 for Lee's Summit West. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Park Hill owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Park Hill has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 0.7-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.