TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | University City | Lawton (OK) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 40.4 | 26.4 |
| PA / GAME | 16.0 | 26.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | +27.9 | +0.0 |
| SOS | -18.7 | +0.0 |
| POWER | +21.3 | +0.0 |
UNIVERSITY CITY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
University City finished the job, as University City and Lawton (OK) finished 47-12. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 35-19 final.
The actual margin was 35 points versus MOFO's 16.2-point projection. That produced a 18.8-point margin error, with score errors of 11.6 for University City and 7.2 for Lawton (OK).
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD UNIVERSITY CITY
MOFO leans toward University City because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 21.3-point power-rating advantage and projects a 16.2-point margin, with University City carrying a 90% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: University City enters at 40.4 points per game compared with 26.4 for Lawton (OK). University City also allows 10.4 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -18.7 for University City and +0.0 for Lawton (OK). Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low — no season data.
01University City owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Lawton (OK) has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 21.3-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.