TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Northeast (Kansas City) | Lathrop |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| PF / GAME | 19.5 | 21.8 |
| PA / GAME | 34.4 | 22.1 |
| AVG MARGIN | -24.4 | +2.5 |
| SOS | +11.7 | -7.0 |
| POWER | -20.3 | +0.1 |
LATHROP WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Lathrop finished the job, as Northeast (Kansas City) and Lathrop finished 0-67. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 19-30 final.
The actual margin was 67 points versus MOFO's 11.1-point projection. That produced a 55.9-point margin error, with score errors of 18.9 for Northeast (Kansas City) and 37.0 for Lathrop.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD LATHROP
MOFO leans toward Lathrop because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 20.4-point power-rating advantage and projects a 11.1-point margin, with Lathrop carrying a 81% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Lathrop enters at 21.8 points per game compared with 19.5 for Northeast (Kansas City). Lathrop also allows 12.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -7.0 for Lathrop and +11.7 for Northeast (Kansas City). Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Lathrop owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Northeast (Kansas City) has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 20.4-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.