TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Lamoni (IA) | Knox County |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| PF / GAME | 26.4 | 41.3 |
| PA / GAME | 26.4 | 21.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +0.0 | +28.3 |
| SOS | +0.0 | -17.8 |
| POWER | +0.0 | +22.1 |
KNOX COUNTY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Knox County finished the job, as Lamoni (IA) and Knox County finished 40-58. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 22-36 final.
The actual margin was 18 points versus MOFO's 14.4-point projection. That produced a 3.6-point margin error, with score errors of 18.4 for Lamoni (IA) and 22.0 for Knox County.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD KNOX COUNTY
MOFO leans toward Knox County because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 22.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 14.4-point margin, with Knox County carrying a 87% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Knox County enters at 41.3 points per game compared with 26.4 for Lamoni (IA). Knox County also allows 5.4 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -17.8 for Knox County and +0.0 for Lamoni (IA). Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low — no season data.
01Knox County owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Lamoni (IA) has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 22.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.