TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | DeKalb | King City |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| PF / GAME | 18.5 | 40.8 |
| PA / GAME | 46.5 | 31.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | -33.5 | +2.4 |
| SOS | +15.2 | -0.5 |
| POWER | -28.2 | +2.2 |
KING CITY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
King City finished the job, as DeKalb and King City finished 8-52. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 22-47 final.
The actual margin was 44 points versus MOFO's 24.7-point projection. That produced a 19.3-point margin error, with score errors of 13.9 for DeKalb and 5.3 for King City.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD KING CITY
MOFO leans toward King City because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 30.4-point power-rating advantage and projects a 24.7-point margin, with King City carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: King City enters at 40.8 points per game compared with 18.5 for DeKalb. King City also allows 15.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -0.5 for King City and +15.2 for DeKalb. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01King City owns the stronger scoring profile.
02DeKalb has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 30.4-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.