TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Clark County | Harrisburg |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| PF / GAME | 21.7 | 22.7 |
| PA / GAME | 35.6 | 26.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | -24.4 | -6.2 |
| SOS | +15.1 | +4.5 |
| POWER | -19.1 | -4.6 |
CLARK COUNTY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Clark County finished the job, as Clark County and Harrisburg finished 37-0. MOFO's pick of Harrisburg missed; the model had projected a 23-31 final.
The actual margin was 37 points versus MOFO's 7.7-point projection. That produced a 44.7-point margin error, with score errors of 14.2 for Clark County and 30.5 for Harrisburg.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD HARRISBURG
MOFO leans toward Harrisburg because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 14.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 7.7-point margin, with Harrisburg carrying a 74% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Harrisburg enters at 22.7 points per game compared with 21.7 for Clark County. Harrisburg also allows 8.9 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +4.5 for Harrisburg and +15.1 for Clark County. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Harrisburg owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Clark County has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 14.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.