BAYLESS WITH HANCOCK WRITES THE FINAL WORD

Bayless with Hancock finished the job, as Bayless with Hancock and Grandview (Hillsboro) finished 16-0. MOFO's pick of Grandview (Hillsboro) missed; the model had projected a 25-28 final.

The actual margin was 16 points versus MOFO's 2.9-point projection. That produced a 18.9-point margin error, with score errors of 9.0 for Bayless with Hancock and 28.0 for Grandview (Hillsboro).

THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD GRANDVIEW (HILLSBORO)

MOFO leans toward Grandview (Hillsboro) because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 2.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 2.9-point margin, with Grandview (Hillsboro) carrying a 60% win probability.

The clearest separator is scoring: Grandview (Hillsboro) enters at 25.0 points per game compared with 20.3 for Bayless with Hancock. Bayless with Hancock's defensive numbers are competitive, which is the best statistical path to keeping the game tighter than projected.

Strength of schedule checks in at +13.9 for Grandview (Hillsboro) and +3.8 for Bayless with Hancock. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.