TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Versailles | Eldon |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| PF / GAME | 13.9 | 25.6 |
| PA / GAME | 38.9 | 29.1 |
| AVG MARGIN | -34.7 | -2.8 |
| SOS | +16.5 | -4.6 |
| POWER | -28.9 | -4.4 |
VERSAILLES WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Versailles finished the job, as Versailles and Eldon finished 28-0. MOFO's pick of Eldon missed; the model had projected a 19-35 final.
The actual margin was 28 points versus MOFO's 15.4-point projection. That produced a 43.4-point margin error, with score errors of 8.8 for Versailles and 34.6 for Eldon.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD ELDON
MOFO leans toward Eldon because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 24.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 15.4-point margin, with Eldon carrying a 89% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Eldon enters at 25.6 points per game compared with 13.9 for Versailles. Eldon also allows 9.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -4.6 for Eldon and +16.5 for Versailles. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Eldon owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Versailles has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 24.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.