TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Malden | East Prairie |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| PF / GAME | 18.7 | 16.7 |
| PA / GAME | 37.2 | 36.9 |
| AVG MARGIN | -21.4 | -30.8 |
| SOS | +5.9 | +13.6 |
| POWER | -19.3 | -26.0 |
MALDEN WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Malden finished the job, as Malden and East Prairie finished 34-0. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 28-26 final.
The actual margin was 34 points versus MOFO's 2.0-point projection. That produced a 32.0-point margin error, with score errors of 5.6 for Malden and 26.3 for East Prairie.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD MALDEN
MOFO leans toward Malden because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 6.7-point power-rating advantage and projects a 2.0-point margin, with Malden carrying a 57% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Malden enters at 18.7 points per game compared with 16.7 for East Prairie. East Prairie's defensive numbers are competitive, which is the best statistical path to keeping the game tighter than projected.
Strength of schedule checks in at +5.9 for Malden and +13.6 for East Prairie. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Malden owns the stronger scoring profile.
02East Prairie has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 6.7-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.