TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Sikeston | Dexter |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| PF / GAME | 28.6 | 27.7 |
| PA / GAME | 26.0 | 22.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +13.2 | -4.9 |
| SOS | -8.9 | +7.7 |
| POWER | +10.0 | -2.2 |
SIKESTON WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Sikeston finished the job, as Sikeston and Dexter finished 20-14. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 26-26 final.
The actual margin was 6 points versus MOFO's 0.6-point projection. That produced a 5.4-point margin error, with score errors of 6.4 for Sikeston and 11.8 for Dexter.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD SIKESTON
MOFO leans toward Sikeston because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 12.3-point power-rating advantage and projects a 0.6-point margin, with Sikeston carrying a 52% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Sikeston enters at 28.6 points per game compared with 27.7 for Dexter. Dexter's defensive numbers are competitive, which is the best statistical path to keeping the game tighter than projected.
Strength of schedule checks in at -8.9 for Sikeston and +7.7 for Dexter. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Sikeston owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Dexter has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 12.3-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.