TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Perryville | DeSoto |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| PF / GAME | 26.0 | 21.1 |
| PA / GAME | 20.0 | 22.6 |
| AVG MARGIN | +12.7 | -5.0 |
| SOS | -9.1 | +3.6 |
| POWER | +9.5 | -3.7 |
DESOTO WRITES THE FINAL WORD
DeSoto finished the job, as Perryville and DeSoto finished 32-54. MOFO's pick of Perryville missed; the model had projected a 26-19 final.
The actual margin was 22 points versus MOFO's 6.2-point projection. That produced a 28.2-point margin error, with score errors of 6.5 for Perryville and 34.7 for DeSoto.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD PERRYVILLE
MOFO leans toward Perryville because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 13.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 6.2-point margin, with Perryville carrying a 70% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Perryville enters at 26.0 points per game compared with 21.1 for DeSoto. Perryville also allows 2.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -9.1 for Perryville and +3.6 for DeSoto. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Perryville owns the stronger scoring profile.
02DeSoto has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 13.2-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.