TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | West Platte | Crest Ridge with Chilhowee |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| PF / GAME | 29.8 | 22.1 |
| PA / GAME | 20.8 | 27.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | +19.4 | -11.5 |
| SOS | -11.8 | +4.9 |
| POWER | +15.3 | -9.8 |
WEST PLATTE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
West Platte finished the job, as West Platte and Crest Ridge with Chilhowee finished 52-24. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 31-19 final.
The actual margin was 28 points versus MOFO's 12.1-point projection. That produced a 15.9-point margin error, with score errors of 20.9 for West Platte and 5.0 for Crest Ridge with Chilhowee.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD WEST PLATTE
MOFO leans toward West Platte because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 25.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 12.1-point margin, with West Platte carrying a 83% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: West Platte enters at 29.8 points per game compared with 22.1 for Crest Ridge with Chilhowee. West Platte also allows 6.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -11.8 for West Platte and +4.9 for Crest Ridge with Chilhowee. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01West Platte owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Crest Ridge with Chilhowee has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 25.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.