TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Slater | Concordia |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| PF / GAME | 25.5 | 36.4 |
| PA / GAME | 41.0 | 20.1 |
| AVG MARGIN | -26.5 | +26.0 |
| SOS | +12.3 | -14.3 |
| POWER | -22.2 | +21.0 |
SLATER WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Slater finished the job, as Slater and Concordia finished 22-21. MOFO's pick of Concordia missed; the model had projected a 19-43 final.
The actual margin was 1 points versus MOFO's 24.4-point projection. That produced a 25.4-point margin error, with score errors of 3.4 for Slater and 21.9 for Concordia.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD CONCORDIA
MOFO leans toward Concordia because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 43.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 24.4-point margin, with Concordia carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Concordia enters at 36.4 points per game compared with 25.5 for Slater. Concordia also allows 20.9 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -14.3 for Concordia and +12.3 for Slater. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Concordia owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Slater has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 43.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.