TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Odessa | Clinton |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| PF / GAME | 35.3 | 32.7 |
| PA / GAME | 21.3 | 19.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | +24.9 | +23.4 |
| SOS | -14.7 | -17.8 |
| POWER | +19.7 | +17.2 |
ODESSA WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Odessa finished the job, as Odessa and Clinton finished 54-7. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 28-27 final.
The actual margin was 47 points versus MOFO's 1.1-point projection. That produced a 45.9-point margin error, with score errors of 26.2 for Odessa and 19.7 for Clinton.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD ODESSA
MOFO leans toward Odessa because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 2.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 1.1-point margin, with Odessa carrying a 54% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Odessa enters at 35.3 points per game compared with 32.7 for Clinton. Clinton's defensive numbers are competitive, which is the best statistical path to keeping the game tighter than projected.
Strength of schedule checks in at -14.7 for Odessa and -17.8 for Clinton. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Odessa owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Odessa has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 2.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.