TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | SLUH | Christian Brothers College |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| PF / GAME | 29.5 | 35.8 |
| PA / GAME | 18.5 | 31.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +20.9 | -8.2 |
| SOS | -13.2 | +14.3 |
| POWER | +16.2 | -3.2 |
CHRISTIAN BROTHERS COLLEGE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Christian Brothers College finished the job, as SLUH and Christian Brothers College finished 17-27. MOFO's pick of SLUH missed; the model had projected a 32-26 final.
The actual margin was 10 points versus MOFO's 6.4-point projection. That produced a 16.4-point margin error, with score errors of 14.9 for SLUH and 1.5 for Christian Brothers College.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD SLUH
MOFO leans toward SLUH because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 19.4-point power-rating advantage and projects a 6.4-point margin, with SLUH carrying a 70% win probability.
Christian Brothers College actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. SLUH also allows 12.5 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -13.2 for SLUH and +14.3 for Christian Brothers College. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Christian Brothers College owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Christian Brothers College has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 19.4-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.