TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Poplar Bluff | Chaminade College Prep |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 22.8 | 29.0 |
| PA / GAME | 29.9 | 26.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | -9.7 | +2.6 |
| SOS | +6.9 | -1.0 |
| POWER | -7.3 | +2.3 |
CHAMINADE COLLEGE PREP WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Chaminade College Prep finished the job, as Poplar Bluff and Chaminade College Prep finished 14-50. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 23-30 final.
The actual margin was 36 points versus MOFO's 6.9-point projection. That produced a 29.1-point margin error, with score errors of 9.5 for Poplar Bluff and 19.6 for Chaminade College Prep.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD CHAMINADE COLLEGE PREP
MOFO leans toward Chaminade College Prep because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 9.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 6.9-point margin, with Chaminade College Prep carrying a 71% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Chaminade College Prep enters at 29.0 points per game compared with 22.8 for Poplar Bluff. Chaminade College Prep also allows 3.9 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -1.0 for Chaminade College Prep and +6.9 for Poplar Bluff. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Chaminade College Prep owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Poplar Bluff has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 9.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.