TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Van Horn | Center |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| PF / GAME | 24.5 | 23.4 |
| PA / GAME | 25.9 | 30.2 |
| AVG MARGIN | -7.4 | -0.2 |
| SOS | +3.8 | -7.9 |
| POWER | -6.0 | -3.0 |
CENTER WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Center finished the job, as Van Horn and Center finished 10-33. MOFO's pick of Van Horn missed; the model had projected a 27-25 final.
The actual margin was 23 points versus MOFO's 2.4-point projection. That produced a 25.4-point margin error, with score errors of 17.2 for Van Horn and 8.2 for Center.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD VAN HORN
MOFO leans toward Van Horn because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 3.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 2.4-point margin, with Van Horn carrying a 58% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Van Horn enters at 24.5 points per game compared with 23.4 for Center. Van Horn also allows 4.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +3.8 for Van Horn and -7.9 for Center. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Van Horn owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Van Horn has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 3.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.