TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Lafayette County | Brookfield |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| PF / GAME | 23.2 | 27.8 |
| PA / GAME | 26.6 | 20.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | -2.0 | +12.8 |
| SOS | +0.9 | -7.1 |
| POWER | -1.7 | +10.3 |
BROOKFIELD WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Brookfield finished the job, as Lafayette County and Brookfield finished 36-52. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 20-28 final.
The actual margin was 16 points versus MOFO's 8.0-point projection. That produced a 8.0-point margin error, with score errors of 15.6 for Lafayette County and 23.6 for Brookfield.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD BROOKFIELD
MOFO leans toward Brookfield because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 12.0-point power-rating advantage and projects a 8.0-point margin, with Brookfield carrying a 74% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Brookfield enters at 27.8 points per game compared with 23.2 for Lafayette County. Brookfield also allows 6.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -7.1 for Brookfield and +0.9 for Lafayette County. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Brookfield owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Lafayette County has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 12.0-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.