TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Raymore-Peculiar | Blue Springs |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| PF / GAME | 22.4 | 28.3 |
| PA / GAME | 22.7 | 20.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | +11.2 | +18.1 |
| SOS | -11.0 | -8.5 |
| POWER | +7.3 | +15.1 |
RAYMORE-PECULIAR WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Raymore-Peculiar finished the job, as Raymore-Peculiar and Blue Springs finished 35-32. MOFO's pick of Blue Springs missed; the model had projected a 21-26 final.
The actual margin was 3 points versus MOFO's 5.7-point projection. That produced a 8.7-point margin error, with score errors of 14.3 for Raymore-Peculiar and 5.6 for Blue Springs.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD BLUE SPRINGS
MOFO leans toward Blue Springs because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 7.7-point power-rating advantage and projects a 5.7-point margin, with Blue Springs carrying a 68% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Blue Springs enters at 28.3 points per game compared with 22.4 for Raymore-Peculiar. Blue Springs also allows 2.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -8.5 for Blue Springs and -11.0 for Raymore-Peculiar. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Blue Springs owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Blue Springs has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 7.7-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.