TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Schuyler County | Bishop LeBlond |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| PF / GAME | 30.2 | 27.5 |
| PA / GAME | 41.9 | 32.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | -6.2 | -18.2 |
| SOS | -3.9 | +13.3 |
| POWER | -7.6 | -13.5 |
BISHOP LEBLOND WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Bishop LeBlond finished the job, as Schuyler County and Bishop LeBlond finished 4-64. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 32-34 final.
The actual margin was 60 points versus MOFO's 2.6-point projection. That produced a 57.4-point margin error, with score errors of 27.7 for Schuyler County and 29.6 for Bishop LeBlond.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD BISHOP LEBLOND
MOFO leans toward Bishop LeBlond because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 5.9-point power-rating advantage and projects a 2.6-point margin, with Bishop LeBlond carrying a 59% win probability.
Schuyler County actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Bishop LeBlond also allows 9.4 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +13.3 for Bishop LeBlond and -3.9 for Schuyler County. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Schuyler County owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Bishop LeBlond has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 5.9-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.