TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Liberty North | Park Hill |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 26.9 | 27.9 |
| PA / GAME | 24.4 | 21.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | +3.3 | +7.7 |
| SOS | +2.8 | +0.5 |
| POWER | +4.3 | +7.9 |
LIBERTY NORTH WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Liberty North finished the job, as Liberty North and Park Hill finished 31-17. MOFO's pick of Park Hill missed; the model had projected a 24-27 final.
The actual margin was 14 points versus MOFO's 2.7-point projection. That produced a 16.7-point margin error, with score errors of 7.2 for Liberty North and 9.5 for Park Hill.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD PARK HILL
MOFO leans toward Park Hill because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 3.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 2.7-point margin, with Park Hill carrying a 59% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Park Hill enters at 27.9 points per game compared with 26.9 for Liberty North. Park Hill also allows 3.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +0.5 for Park Hill and +2.8 for Liberty North. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Park Hill owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Liberty North has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 3.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.