TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Marshall | East (Kansas City) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 24.4 | 24.0 |
| PA / GAME | 29.3 | 24.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | -6.4 | +0.0 |
| SOS | +1.6 | +0.0 |
| POWER | -5.9 | +0.0 |
MARSHALL WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Marshall finished the job, as Marshall and East (Kansas City) finished 43-0. MOFO's pick of East (Kansas City) missed; the model had projected a 24-27 final.
The actual margin was 43 points versus MOFO's 3.7-point projection. That produced a 46.7-point margin error, with score errors of 19.4 for Marshall and 27.3 for East (Kansas City).
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD EAST (KANSAS CITY)
MOFO leans toward East (Kansas City) because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 5.9-point power-rating advantage and projects a 3.7-point margin, with East (Kansas City) carrying a 62% win probability.
Marshall actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. East (Kansas City) also allows 5.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +0.0 for East (Kansas City) and +1.6 for Marshall. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low — no season data.
01Marshall owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Marshall has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 5.9-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.