TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Lutheran North | Cardinal Ritter |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 24.0 | 30.7 |
| PA / GAME | 24.0 | 19.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | +0.0 | +9.7 |
| SOS | +0.0 | +2.3 |
| POWER | +0.0 | +10.5 |
CARDINAL RITTER WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Cardinal Ritter finished the job, as Lutheran North and Cardinal Ritter finished 18-30. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 21-29 final.
The actual margin was 12 points versus MOFO's 7.9-point projection. That produced a 4.1-point margin error, with score errors of 2.7 for Lutheran North and 1.5 for Cardinal Ritter.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD CARDINAL RITTER
MOFO leans toward Cardinal Ritter because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 10.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 7.9-point margin, with Cardinal Ritter carrying a 74% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Cardinal Ritter enters at 30.7 points per game compared with 24.0 for Lutheran North. Cardinal Ritter also allows 4.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +2.3 for Cardinal Ritter and +0.0 for Lutheran North. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low — no season data.
01Cardinal Ritter owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Cardinal Ritter has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 10.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.