TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Raytown South | William Chrisman |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 15.6 | 22.5 |
| PA / GAME | 33.0 | 30.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | -11.6 | -7.6 |
| SOS | +2.4 | +1.7 |
| POWER | -10.8 | -7.0 |
WILLIAM CHRISMAN WRITES THE FINAL WORD
William Chrisman finished the job, as Raytown South and William Chrisman finished 20-21. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 23-28 final.
The actual margin was 1 points versus MOFO's 5.3-point projection. That produced a 4.3-point margin error, with score errors of 2.8 for Raytown South and 7.1 for William Chrisman.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD WILLIAM CHRISMAN
MOFO leans toward William Chrisman because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 3.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 5.3-point margin, with William Chrisman carrying a 67% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: William Chrisman enters at 22.5 points per game compared with 15.6 for Raytown South. William Chrisman also allows 2.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +1.7 for William Chrisman and +2.4 for Raytown South. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01William Chrisman owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Raytown South has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 3.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.