WESTMINSTER CHRISTIAN ACADEMY WRITES THE FINAL WORD

Westminster Christian Academy finished the job, as Holt and Westminster Christian Academy finished 21-37. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 25-25 final.

The actual margin was 16 points versus MOFO's 0.3-point projection. That produced a 15.7-point margin error, with score errors of 3.7 for Holt and 12.0 for Westminster Christian Academy.

THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD WESTMINSTER CHRISTIAN ACADEMY

MOFO leans toward Westminster Christian Academy because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 1.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 0.3-point margin, with Westminster Christian Academy carrying a 51% win probability.

Holt actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Westminster Christian Academy also allows 3.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.

Strength of schedule checks in at -4.2 for Westminster Christian Academy and -0.0 for Holt. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.