TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | St. Joseph Christian | West Nodaway |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 29.9 | 43.2 |
| PA / GAME | 37.6 | 23.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | -5.2 | +13.6 |
| SOS | +1.0 | -0.5 |
| POWER | -4.9 | +13.4 |
WEST NODAWAY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
West Nodaway finished the job, as St. Joseph Christian and West Nodaway finished 20-60. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 25-42 final.
The actual margin was 40 points versus MOFO's 17.5-point projection. That produced a 22.5-point margin error, with score errors of 4.9 for St. Joseph Christian and 17.6 for West Nodaway.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD WEST NODAWAY
MOFO leans toward West Nodaway because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 18.3-point power-rating advantage and projects a 17.5-point margin, with West Nodaway carrying a 91% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: West Nodaway enters at 43.2 points per game compared with 29.9 for St. Joseph Christian. West Nodaway also allows 13.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -0.5 for West Nodaway and +1.0 for St. Joseph Christian. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01West Nodaway owns the stronger scoring profile.
02St. Joseph Christian has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 18.3-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.