WEBSTER GROVES WRITES THE FINAL WORD

Webster Groves finished the job, as Francis Howell North and Webster Groves finished 8-22. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 20-32 final.

The actual margin was 14 points versus MOFO's 12.6-point projection. That produced a 1.4-point margin error, with score errors of 11.9 for Francis Howell North and 10.5 for Webster Groves.

THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD WEBSTER GROVES

MOFO leans toward Webster Groves because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 14.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 12.6-point margin, with Webster Groves carrying a 84% win probability.

The clearest separator is scoring: Webster Groves enters at 24.6 points per game compared with 12.9 for Francis Howell North. Webster Groves also allows 7.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.

Strength of schedule checks in at -2.1 for Webster Groves and -3.0 for Francis Howell North. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.