TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Westran | Van-Far |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 22.0 | 28.5 |
| PA / GAME | 28.7 | 25.1 |
| AVG MARGIN | -7.3 | +3.4 |
| SOS | -3.4 | -1.8 |
| POWER | -8.5 | +2.8 |
WESTRAN WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Westran finished the job, as Westran and Van-Far finished 32-14. MOFO's pick of Van-Far missed; the model had projected a 22-30 final.
The actual margin was 18 points versus MOFO's 7.6-point projection. That produced a 25.6-point margin error, with score errors of 9.7 for Westran and 15.9 for Van-Far.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD VAN-FAR
MOFO leans toward Van-Far because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 11.3-point power-rating advantage and projects a 7.6-point margin, with Van-Far carrying a 73% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Van-Far enters at 28.5 points per game compared with 22.0 for Westran. Van-Far also allows 3.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -1.8 for Van-Far and -3.4 for Westran. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Van-Far owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Van-Far has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 11.3-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.