TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | East Buchanan | Trenton |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 26.4 | 22.0 |
| PA / GAME | 31.6 | 28.6 |
| AVG MARGIN | -4.6 | -8.3 |
| SOS | +0.3 | -2.0 |
| POWER | -4.5 | -9.0 |
EAST BUCHANAN WRITES THE FINAL WORD
East Buchanan finished the job, as East Buchanan and Trenton finished 41-15. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 28-26 final.
The actual margin was 26 points versus MOFO's 1.8-point projection. That produced a 24.2-point margin error, with score errors of 13.0 for East Buchanan and 11.2 for Trenton.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD EAST BUCHANAN
MOFO leans toward East Buchanan because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 4.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 1.8-point margin, with East Buchanan carrying a 56% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: East Buchanan enters at 26.4 points per game compared with 22.0 for Trenton. Trenton's defensive numbers are competitive, which is the best statistical path to keeping the game tighter than projected.
Strength of schedule checks in at +0.3 for East Buchanan and -2.0 for Trenton. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01East Buchanan owns the stronger scoring profile.
02East Buchanan has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 4.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.