TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Hardin-Central | Sweet Springs |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 38.6 | 34.3 |
| PA / GAME | 23.7 | 37.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | +15.4 | -1.4 |
| SOS | -4.4 | +0.4 |
| POWER | +13.9 | -1.3 |
HARDIN-CENTRAL WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Hardin-Central finished the job, as Hardin-Central and Sweet Springs finished 60-42. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 40-27 final.
The actual margin was 18 points versus MOFO's 12.3-point projection. That produced a 5.7-point margin error, with score errors of 20.3 for Hardin-Central and 14.6 for Sweet Springs.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD HARDIN-CENTRAL
MOFO leans toward Hardin-Central because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 15.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 12.3-point margin, with Hardin-Central carrying a 84% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Hardin-Central enters at 38.6 points per game compared with 34.3 for Sweet Springs. Hardin-Central also allows 14.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -4.4 for Hardin-Central and +0.4 for Sweet Springs. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Hardin-Central owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Sweet Springs has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 15.2-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.