TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | St. Mary's (KS) Academy | Summit Christian Academy |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 27.2 | 25.1 |
| PA / GAME | 20.2 | 26.9 |
| AVG MARGIN | +6.8 | -0.9 |
| SOS | -5.5 | +1.6 |
| POWER | +4.8 | -0.3 |
SUMMIT CHRISTIAN ACADEMY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Summit Christian Academy finished the job, as St. Mary's (KS) Academy and Summit Christian Academy finished 13-41. MOFO's pick of St. Mary's (KS) Academy missed; the model had projected a 27-22 final.
The actual margin was 28 points versus MOFO's 5.3-point projection. That produced a 33.3-point margin error, with score errors of 14.5 for St. Mary's (KS) Academy and 18.8 for Summit Christian Academy.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD ST. MARY'S (KS) ACADEMY
MOFO leans toward St. Mary's (KS) Academy because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 5.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 5.3-point margin, with St. Mary's (KS) Academy carrying a 67% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: St. Mary's (KS) Academy enters at 27.2 points per game compared with 25.1 for Summit Christian Academy. St. Mary's (KS) Academy also allows 6.7 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -5.5 for St. Mary's (KS) Academy and +1.6 for Summit Christian Academy. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01St. Mary's (KS) Academy owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Summit Christian Academy has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 5.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.